The Democrats are likely to lose seats this election. They are also likely to retain control of both houses of Congress. After the elections we will probably hear plenty (if we watch/read the news) about how Republicans have won. But Republicans are not likely to win this election. They are very likely to lose by less than they did in the past couple.
The Senate is messed up, so I'll ignore that.
The US House of Representatives completely turns over every two years. That means that the House is a good gauge of who the American people want governing them (kind of, gerrymandered districts actually mean that the US is more Democratic than the House, but eh?). If Democrats hold the House in the fall then it is the Democrats who have "won" the election. It is Democrats who have the support of the American people.
No matter how many seats the GOP picks up in November, if it is not enough to give them the majority in the House then the American people will have said: "We want Democrats in control."
It is possible the House turns over. Unfortunately, even if it doesn't we are likely to hear about what a big night it will have been for the GOP. And next to no one will admit the truth: Americans prefer to be governed by the Majority holder of the US House of Representatives.
No comments:
Post a Comment